Ten times the pace.

New York has set a housing target for every community district for the first time: 350,000 new homes by 2030. The 12 districts on the Affordable Housing Fast Track added 4.4 percent of the city’s new homes over the last five years. They carry 21.6 percent of the targets, about ten times the pace they have been building at.

All 59 community districts on Rebar Radar’s model of New York, in 3D. Deeper blue, more homes: first the homes each district added in 2021–2025, then its 2030 target. The 12 Fast Track districts in green. 35 seconds, no sound.

The targets

Local Law 167 of 2023 requires New York City to set housing production targets every five years. The first set is in the final Fair Housing Growth Strategy from the Department of Housing Preservation and Development and the Department of City Planning, dated October 8, 2026. The report estimates that the city needs about 700,000 more homes over ten years, and it sets a target of 350,000 new homes by the end of 2030, 85,000 of them income-restricted affordable homes. Each of the 59 community districts gets its own share, with affordable, deeply affordable and homeless-household targets inside it.

The targets start from how fast each district grew from 2016 to 2025. The report sorts the districts into three groups. The fastest growers are asked for 9 percent growth over five years and the middle group for 8 percent. The slowest are asked for their own past rate plus 6.25 percentage points. Each district’s rate is then raised by up to a tenth for the share of its land near rail transit, and cut by up to a fifth for the share likely to flood at high tide by the 2080s. Those two steps were added after comments on the August draft.

Homes count toward a target when they get a certificate of occupancy between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2030, and homes lost to demolitions or combinations count against it. A rezoning on its own counts for nothing.

Where the homes went, and where they’re asked for

Adding up the report’s district figures, the city gained 167,045 net new homes from 2021 to 2025, and half of them went up in 11 of the 59 districts. Downtown Brooklyn and Fort Greene added 12,170, Long Island City, Sunnyside and Woodside 12,150, and Williamsburg and Greenpoint 11,670.

The targets spread the next five years much more evenly: half of the 350,000 falls on 23 districts. Six districts are asked for fewer homes than they have just added, and they include the three biggest builders. Downtown Brooklyn’s target is 7,980, against the 12,170 it added. At the other end, Canarsie’s target is 32 times what it built.

Each district’s 2030 target for new homes divided by the net new homes it added in 2021–2025, all 59 community districts, biggest step up first. At the right, six districts are asked for fewer homes than they just added. On the fast track Every other districtSource: NYC Department of Housing Preservation and Development and Department of City Planning, Fair Housing Growth Strategy final report (October 2026).
All 59 districts as a table
RankDistrictAdded, 2021–252030 targetStep up
1BK18 Canarsie, Flatlands1906,09032.1×
2QN13 Queens Village, Bellerose, Rosedale2855,60019.6×
3QN10 South Ozone Park & Howard Beach2103,62017.2×
4BK10 Bay Ridge, Dyker Heights3054,06013.3×
5MN7 Upper West Side83510,73512.9×
6MN2 Greenwich Village, Tribeca5006,36012.7×
7SI2 Mid-Island4204,60511.0×
8MN8 Upper East Side, Roosevelt Island1,28513,51510.5×
9QN9 Kew Gardens, Richmond Hill, Woodhaven4954,98510.1×
10QN11 Auburndale, Bayside, Douglaston4454,3059.7×
11BK15 Sheepshead Bay, Gravesend (East)5705,3859.4×
12QN5 Ridgewood, Maspeth, Middle Village6055,3408.8×
13BX10 Co-op City, Throgs Neck5403,9457.3×
14SI3 South Shore9856,5756.7×
15BK12 Borough Park, Kensington8505,5056.5×
16QN8 Fresh Meadows, Hillcrest, Briarwood1,0155,8905.8×
17QN4 Elmhurst, Corona8755,0655.8×
18SI1 North Shore1,0455,6705.4×
19BK11 Bensonhurst, Bath Beach1,0955,7955.3×
20MN6 East Midtown1,8208,9054.9×
21QN3 Jackson Heights, East Elmhurst9854,7404.8×
22BX11 Pelham Parkway, Morris Park7653,6804.8×
23MN3 Lower East Side, Chinatown1,7457,4504.3×
24MN10 Harlem1,6455,6253.4×
25QN6 Forest Hills, Rego Park1,8606,3253.4×
26BK7 Sunset Park, Windsor Terrace1,5905,2353.3×
27BX9 Soundview, Parkchester1,8755,9903.2×
28QN7 Flushing, Murray Hill, Whitestone2,8708,6503.0×
29MN9 Morningside Heights, Hamilton Heights1,4104,1002.9×
30BX8 Riverdale, Kingsbridge, Marble Hill1,3953,9902.9×
31MN12 Washington Heights, Inwood2,5706,8052.6×
32MN5 Midtown, Flatiron1,7704,3902.5×
33BX12 Wakefield, Williamsbridge, Eastchester2,5705,4902.1×
34MN11 East Harlem2,4054,9102.0×
35BK14 Flatbush, Midwood2,8305,7502.0×
36BK6 Park Slope, Carroll Gardens3,1556,2202.0×
37BK13 Coney Island, Brighton Beach2,0703,9701.9×
38BK4 Bushwick2,7205,0051.8×
39MN4 Chelsea, Hell’s Kitchen4,9258,8651.8×
40BK9 Crown Heights (South)2,6454,4051.7×
41BK17 East Flatbush3,4505,7151.7×
42BX2 Longwood, Hunts Point1,3602,0851.5×
43BK8 Crown Heights (North)3,5155,2701.5×
44MN1 Financial District3,8555,6001.5×
45BX3 Morrisania2,6103,6601.4×
46BX7 Fordham, Bedford Park, Norwood4,0905,6951.4×
47BK3 Bedford-Stuyvesant6,0957,8951.3×
48BX4 Highbridge, Concourse4,6955,8401.2×
49QN12 Jamaica, St. Albans, Hollis6,2757,5201.2×
50QN1 Astoria, Queensbridge8,2259,5201.2×
51BK16 Ocean Hill, Brownsville3,4904,0351.2×
52BK5 East New York, Cypress Hills6,7357,7301.1×
53BX6 Tremont, Belmont, West Farms3,2703,6301.1×
54QN14 The Rockaways3,5753,5401.0×
55BX5 Morris Heights, Mount Hope5,1905,0801.0×
56BK1 Williamsburg, Greenpoint11,67010,1650.9×
57QN2 Long Island City, Sunnyside, Woodside12,1508,8050.7×
58BX1 Melrose, Mott Haven, Port Morris6,4554,3700.7×
59BK2 Downtown Brooklyn, Fort Greene12,1707,9800.7×

The Fast Track’s 12

On October 1, City Planning named the 12 districts that will get the Affordable Housing Fast Track: a 90-day review for housing rezonings from January 1, 2027, chosen because they added the fewest new affordable homes for their size. The targets report measures something else, every net new home rather than only the affordable ones, and it points to the same places.

Together the 12 added 7,290 homes from 2021 to 2025, 4.4 percent of the city’s. Their 2030 targets add up to 75,015, 21.6 percent of the city’s total, about ten times the pace they have been building at. The five biggest jumps between what a district built and what it is now asked for are all on the list, and nine of the 12 biggest are.

New homes added, 2021–2025167,045 citywide

4.4% in the 12 Fast Track districts: 7,290

2030 targets for new homes347,680 citywide

21.6% in the 12 Fast Track districts: 75,015

The 12 Fast Track districts’ share of the net new homes the city added in 2021–2025, and of its 2030 targets for new homes. District figures are the report’s, rounded to the nearest five. The 12 Fast Track districts The other 47Source: NYC Department of Housing Preservation and Development and Department of City Planning, Fair Housing Growth Strategy final report (October 2026).
DistrictHomes added, 2021–252030 targetOf which affordableStep up
BK18Canarsie, FlatlandsBrooklyn1906,0901,52032.1×
QN13Queens Village, Bellerose, RosedaleQueens2855,6001,40019.6×
QN10South Ozone Park & Howard BeachQueens2103,62090517.2×
BK10Bay Ridge, Dyker HeightsBrooklyn3054,0601,01513.3×
MN7Upper West SideManhattan83510,7352,68512.9×
SI2Mid-IslandStaten Island4204,6051,15011.0×
MN8Upper East Side, Roosevelt IslandManhattan1,28513,5153,38010.5×
QN11Auburndale, Bayside, DouglastonQueens4454,3051,0759.7×
QN5Ridgewood, Maspeth, Middle VillageQueens6055,3401,3358.8×
SI3South ShoreStaten Island9856,5751,6456.7×
BK12Borough Park, KensingtonBrooklyn8505,5051,3756.5×
QN4Elmhurst, CoronaQueens8755,0651,2655.8×
All 127,29075,01518,75010.3×

The Upper West and Upper East Sides

The Upper West Side added 835 homes in five years, and its target is 10,735. The Upper East Side and Roosevelt Island added 1,285, and its 13,515 is the largest target of any district in the city. Between them the two carry 24,250 homes, 7 percent of the citywide total.

Part of the reason is size. A target is a growth rate applied to the homes a district already has, and these two have more homes than any other district on the Fast Track list.

Canarsie and the southern edge

The biggest step up in the city is in Canarsie and Flatlands, which added 190 homes from 2021 to 2025 and is asked for 6,090 by 2030. The next three are also on the Fast Track list: Queens Village, Bellerose and Rosedale (285 added, 5,600 targeted); South Ozone Park and Howard Beach (210 added, 3,620 targeted); Bay Ridge and Dyker Heights (305 added, 4,060 targeted).

Several of these districts run down to Jamaica Bay or the harbor. The report lowers a district’s target in proportion to its land that is likely to flood at high tide by the 2080s, by the full fifth in the Rockaways, so the targets here already allow for that.

What the targets don’t do

The targets are goals, not zoning. Nothing in the report changes what any lot is allowed to hold, and it doesn’t make anything get built. They set out how much housing the city wants, and where.

“Significantly shift course for the districts that have contributed the least.”

The Fair Housing Growth Strategy’s goal for its slowest-growing group of districts (October 2026)

The report ties the two lists together itself. It says the Fast Track districts “complement the FHGS by providing a land use tool that can allow those districts to better meet the affordable housing targets established in this report.” In the 12, a rezoning for housing gets a 90-day review from January 1, and the City Planning Commission casts the final vote. Progress is counted in finished homes, at their certificates of occupancy, and the city sets the targets again in five years.

Fly every district’s target yourself.

Everything above is on Rebar Radar’s model of New York, all five boroughs in 3D. Every district is shaded by its 2030 target, and the homes it added sit one layer below. Click a district for all of its numbers, and whether it is on the Fast Track list.

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Method and sources

Every district figure comes from the report’s 2030 targets tables, which round each district to the nearest five. Homes added are the report’s net new homes for 2021 to 2025, from City Planning’s Housing Database: new buildings and conversions, minus homes lost to demolitions and combinations. The step up is a district’s 2030 target divided by its homes added, which compares two five-year periods. The 12 are City Planning’s Fast Track list of October 1, 2026.

The district rows add up to 167,045 homes added and 347,680 targeted. The report’s borough totals come to 347,665, and its headline is 350,000. The gaps are rounding. Shares here are computed from the district rows.

The 3D model: buildings from NYC Open Data and © OpenStreetMap contributors and the Overture Maps Foundation (ODbL); New York’s core is modelled by hand.

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